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The scientific faith that earthquake is predictable should be insisted—the successful prediction of threestrong aftershocks of Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Chengmin

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 107-110

Abstract: Earthquake.The specialists in Chinese Earthquake Prediction Consultation Committee started the aftershockprediction research after the earthquake to support emergency rescue and disaster relief with practicalaction.From May 15 to August 15, the committee formally reported prediction results for 3 times andthe three strong aftershocks, i.e.M 6.0 earthquake on May 18 in Jiangyou, M 6.4 earthquake on May 25should think over the fact that the prediction of all three aftershocks was correct without any miss

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake     aftershock of Wenchuan Earthquake     earthquake short -impending prediction    

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Short-term and impending precursor of sand layer stress in Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Baoyu,Tong Xiaohui,Sun Xiaoming ,Sun Wei

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 146-152

Abstract: data of sand layer stress instrument in Changping and Xiji, Beijing, earthquake precursor in the past2004.The short-term and impending precursor of Wenchuan Earthquake recorded by the sand layer stressinstrument was in accordance with this model.The observed short-term and impending abnormal stage changesatellite thermal infrared and other testing methods in the aspect of time, had very obvious characters of impendingearthquake anomaly.

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake     sand layer stress instrument     earthquake preparation physical model of sand layerstress     impending earthquake signal    

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Destructive Earthquakes Are Predictable——The Physical Model of Earthquake Gestation and the Signal ofImpending Quake

Sun Wei

Strategic Study of CAE 2007, Volume 9, Issue 7,   Pages 7-17

Abstract:

What is discussed here is that the earthquake precursor have their ownphysical model, which is divided into the load stage, the stage of stalemate, the unload stage, the shortAn analytic method is brought forward for tracing the information on the warning signs of an earthquakeAlso, earthquake prediction is preactically divided into stages, making it possible to realize the predicting

Keywords： destructive earthquake     quake-breeding physical model     signals before an earthquake     earthquake precursor    

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Statistic and review of China’s earthquake prediction score

Gao Jianguo

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 129-131

Abstract:

Earthquake is difficult to forecast, but it doesn't happen withoutthat there have been 77 predictions about middle -term, short -term or imminent earthquakes in the last40 years.Therefore, success in Chinese earthquake prediction could not be denied only because of failurein Wenchuan Earthquake prediction.China's earthquake prediction score should be positive,and WenchuanEarthquake is not a "strange shock" without any precursor.

Keywords： earthquake     earthquake prediction     nearly 30 years’earthquake prediction statistics in china    

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Prediction and thoughts of the Wenchuan large earthquake

Geng Qingguo

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 123-128

Abstract:

According to many years of earthquake prediction exploring work basedon analysis of drought -earthquake relations and ordered strong earthquake activities and the methodthe Sichuan Abazhou area, and revealed the main points of the "Urgent advice to enhance strong earthquakeshort-term/imminent monitoring and analysis prediction contingency work for the Sichuan-Gansu-Qinghai-Shaanxi

Keywords： Wenchuan Large Earthquake prediction     drought-earthquake relations     strong earthquake activities order    

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Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake—re-discussingLi Siguang’s earthquake prediction thought

Zhao Wenjin

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 4-15

Abstract:

According to the experience and problems of seismic monitoring and earthquakeprediction for many years in China, it was discussed the earthquake mechanism, preliminary methods forprediction research and the mechanism and miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake, analyzed prediction precursorof short-term and impending earthquake, seismometry application limitation and ground stress transferand track, and put forward 9 suggestions for future earthquake prediction.

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake     earthquake prediction     ground stress     Li Siguang    

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Review on the prediction before the Wenchuan Earthquake

Guo Zengjian,Guo Anning

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 166-168

Abstract: : justify;">According to the index of solar activity we predicted in 2006 that during 2007 ~2008 an earthquakeM >7 will possibly occur in segment between Tianshui and Kangding.Based on the flood-earthquake chainalong the latitude circle of 30°,we predicted in the end of 2007 that an earthquake M6 ~7 will possibly

Keywords： earthquake prediction     valley of solar activity     flood-earthquake chain    

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The dawn of successful prediction of major earthquakes

Li Ping and Yang Mei’e

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 19-27

Abstract: recent 20 years, however, some seismologists abroad have taken a disappointed and pessimistic view to earthquakeprediction because of several failures.They suggest that the efforts should turn toward other fields, such as identification of building’s earthquake-proofinfluence some Chinese researchers of the seismological community who attempted to give up efforts for earthquakeprediction.

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake     strong earthquake prediction     microseism generating fault    

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Earthquakes in the north block of Tibet-Plateau and retrospect of prediction for Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake

Men Kepei

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 82-88

Abstract: According to the information prediction theory of Weng Wenbo and self-organization network technology, we try to explore the practical method for strong earthquake prediction with Chinese characteristics, and conceive strong earthquake with magnitude 7 informational network structure.The results show that strong earthquake and strong earthquake chain can be predicted.This method has a unique effect on mid-and-long term prediction for strong earthquake.

Keywords： the north block of Tibet Plateau     informational orderly network structure     the great Wenchuan Earthquake     strong earthquake prediction    

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Technically feasible approach to earthquake prediction

Liu Defu,Kang Chunli

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 159-165

Abstract:

Earthquake prediction is an undertaking of public welfare.But earthquakescannot be successfully predicted at present due to technological reasons.Earthquake prediction shouldbe studied earnestly to adapt the demand of society for earthquake prediction at present.In order tostudy the possiblity of predicting the Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake occurred on May 12,2008, based on theearthquake information itsself, this paper has suggesed a kind of numerical modeling method for predicting

Keywords： earthquake     OLR     numerical modeling     predicting    

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Liquefaction prediction using support vector machine model based on cone penetration data

Pijush SAMUI

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2013, Volume 7, Issue 1,   Pages 72-82 doi: 10.1007/s11709-013-0185-y

Abstract: A support vector machine (SVM) model has been developed for the prediction of liquefaction susceptibilityas a classification problem, which is an imperative task in earthquake engineering.This paper examines the potential of SVM model in prediction of liquefaction using actual field conepenetration test (CPT) data from the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan earthquake.For Chi-Chi earthquake, the model predicts with accuracy of 100%, and in the case of global data, SVM

Keywords： earthquake     cone penetration test     liquefaction     support vector machine (SVM)     prediction    

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The Physical Precursors for the Ms 8.7 and Ms 8.5 Earthquakes in Indian Ocean

Sun Wei,Sun Xiaoming

Strategic Study of CAE 2008, Volume 10, Issue 2,   Pages 14-25

Abstract:

The precursors-the gestation process and the signal of impending earthquake of the Indian Ocean Earthquakeanalyzed.The sign of underground material migration is also found in the gestation process of Ms 8-7 earthquake

Keywords： Ms 8-7 and Ms 8-5 earthquake in Indian Ocean     earthquqke precursor     signal of impending earthquake     tsunami    

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A novel hybrid model for water quality prediction based on VMD and IGOA optimized for LSTM

Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2023, Volume 17, Issue 7, doi: 10.1007/s11783-023-1688-y

Abstract:

● A novel VMD-IGOA-LSTM model has proposed for the prediction of

Keywords： Water quality prediction     Grasshopper optimization algorithm     Variational mode decomposition     Long short-term    

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The phenomena based on the before Wenchuan Earthquake, the characteristic of large scale and deep layeron dynamic force of earthquake occurrence has been recognized

Xu Shaoxie

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 16-18

Abstract: text-align: justify;">The characteristic of large scale and deep layer on dynamic force of Wenchuan EarthquakeThe seismicity before Wenchuan Earthquake of May 12, 2008 has been studied, by using the data from 1977activity enhanced in deep layer, are important phenomena before Wenchuan Earthquake.Such characteristics have already been found in the phenomena before Tangshan Earthquake in 1976.Since the disaster of a great earthquake is very serious, it should be enhanced to collect and study

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake     the characteristic of large scale and deep layer on dynamic force of earthquakeoccurrence     earthquake prediction    

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A systems view of the earthquake forecast

Li Shihui

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6,   Pages 132-137

Abstract: to use the principle and method of systems sciences to prove that the standpoint of the mainstream earthquakescientists is unscientific and unreasonable, namely, the earthquake can't be forecasted essentially

Keywords： earthquake forecast     earthquake prediction     complexity     systems sciences     complement each other of Chinese    

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Title Author Date Type Operation

The scientific faith that earthquake is predictable should be insisted—the successful prediction of threestrong aftershocks of Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Chengmin

Journal Article

Short-term and impending precursor of sand layer stress in Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Baoyu,Tong Xiaohui,Sun Xiaoming ,Sun Wei

Journal Article

Destructive Earthquakes Are Predictable——The Physical Model of Earthquake Gestation and the Signal ofImpending Quake

Sun Wei

Journal Article

Statistic and review of China’s earthquake prediction score

Gao Jianguo

Journal Article

Prediction and thoughts of the Wenchuan large earthquake

Geng Qingguo

Journal Article

Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake—re-discussingLi Siguang’s earthquake prediction thought

Zhao Wenjin

Journal Article

Review on the prediction before the Wenchuan Earthquake

Guo Zengjian,Guo Anning

Journal Article

The dawn of successful prediction of major earthquakes

Li Ping and Yang Mei’e

Journal Article

Earthquakes in the north block of Tibet-Plateau and retrospect of prediction for Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake

Men Kepei

Journal Article

Technically feasible approach to earthquake prediction

Liu Defu,Kang Chunli

Journal Article

Liquefaction prediction using support vector machine model based on cone penetration data

Pijush SAMUI

Journal Article

The Physical Precursors for the Ms 8.7 and Ms 8.5 Earthquakes in Indian Ocean

Sun Wei,Sun Xiaoming

Journal Article

A novel hybrid model for water quality prediction based on VMD and IGOA optimized for LSTM

Journal Article

The phenomena based on the before Wenchuan Earthquake, the characteristic of large scale and deep layeron dynamic force of earthquake occurrence has been recognized

Xu Shaoxie

Journal Article

A systems view of the earthquake forecast

Li Shihui

Journal Article